Here are some of the other key findings from the analysis: This analysis is based on a survey of 11,818 members of Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel conducted Nov. 12-17, 2020, shortly after the general election. Honduras to switch ties from Taiwan to China, says president, Honduran environmental defenders shot dead in broad daylight, Honduras declares war against gangs and for control of popular narrative, Best of 2022: The amazing true(ish) story of the Honduran Maradona podcast, Central America sees economic boon as migrants flow through on way to US, Were losing hope: Honduras anger as first female president fails to fulfil womens rights pledge, Theamazing true(ish) story of the Honduran Maradona, Sell your organs to raise the ransom: the Hondurans risking kidnap and death to reach the US. Biden had already reversed Trump's deregulatory efforts. One new element of this years study in Part 2of this report is a survey component that measures Americans exposure to and sense of news coverage during this early time period, how that differs by media diet, and how it compares with the analysis of media content in Part 1. In the 2016 election, Donald Trump won men by 11 percentage points (52% to 41%) while Hillary Clinton won women by 15 points (54% to 39%). One of his campaign statements noted: Most Americans can trace their family history back to a choice a choice to leave behind everything that was familiar in search of new opportunities and a new life. Those policy changes have been accompanied by the creation of limited legal pathways, but their eligibility requirements demand a level of financial resources and international connections that the western hemispheres most vulnerable, forcibly displaced people likely cannot produce. Americans sense of the early coverage about the Biden administration tends to be more positive than the tone of the content that was studied. Voters like Trumps strong stance against China in the trade war Under Donald Trump, Americans were confronted with a near-constant onslaught of racist, anti-immigrant rhetoric and policy, especially regarding the US-Mexico border, as the same man who led chants about building a wall there won the 2016 presidential election and took control of the Oval Office for the next four years. The 2020 election featured continuity in the voting patterns of major demographic and political groups in the population, but there were a few important shifts. Trump gets credit from some voters for de-escalating tensions with Iran even as he confronts Iranian nuclear misconduct Asian Americans (a relatively small but fast-growing group in the U.S.) made up 4% of voters and an identical share of nonvoting citizens (note: nonvoters in this analysis do not include noncitizens). One noteworthy feature of the 2020 election was the wide education gap among Hispanic voters. Despite notable changes in the demographics of the two candidates coalitions, the demographic composition of the electorate as a whole in 2020 did not differ much from that of 2016. Preferences were more evenly divided among those who cast their ballots in person ahead of Election Day: 52% voted for Trump while 47% voted for Biden. Sizable shares of voters across racial and ethnic subgroups cast absentee or mail-in ballots in the 2020 election though there are some differences in voting methods when comparing across groups. The problem for Biden is that sooner or later he does have to go out and campaign, and A lot of the voters who give Biden their support right now do so softly and without commitment; Trump can win them to his side in some cases, or convince them to just stay home. About two-thirds of Biden stories (65%) were framed around ideology and agenda, while about one-third (35%) focused on leadership and character. About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. And among the outlets with right-leaning audiences, immigration was the most covered topic area. In all, about three-quarters (78%) of their stories offered a negative assessment of the administration and its actions, with only 4% offering a positive assessment. College graduates made up 39% of all voters in 2020 (about the same as in 2016) but only 17% of nonvoters. (+1) 202-419-4300 | Main Biden received a solid majority of votes among urban residents (66% overall), but Trump gained among urbanites relative to his performance in 2016 (33% in 2020, 24% in 2016). While the topic of the economy was covered more by outlets with a left-leaning audience, a large majority of Americans, regardless of their media diet, report hearing a lot about the passage of the economic stimulus bill in the news. Trump is seen as the law & order candidate while Democrats are seen as hurting our safety Markets Roundup The latest news & analysis. In the 2018 election, Democrats substantially narrowed the gap with men (50% of men voted for Democratic candidates, 48% for Republican candidates) while maintaining an 18-point lead among women. The survey also assessed Americans awareness of the news by asking five fact-based questions related to issues early in the Biden administration. The survey is weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race, ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education and other categories. One similarity in coverage of the two most recent administrations has been the main source cited in news stories: Just as the Trump administration was by far the most cited source in news stories soon after Trump became president (cited in 74% of stories), so is the Biden administration the most cited source now (82%). This is the latest report in Pew Research Centers ongoing investigation of the state of news, information and journalism in the digital age, a research program funded by The Pew Charitable Trusts, with generous support from the John S. and James L. Knight Foundation. Trump was eventually forced to end these hyper-visible family separations, but he continued to advance hardline practices that adversely affected children and families seeking help at the USs south-west boundary, whether stranding young kids in US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (Ice) custody or in hazardous Mexican border towns. Donald Trump is already signaling that he will run for president in 2024. This years analysis finds that coverage of the Biden administration in this smaller sample of news outlets was more likely to carry neither a positive nor a negative assessment compared with the first 60 days of the Trump, Obama, Bush and Clinton administrations. Overall, Biden voters were younger, more racially and ethnically diverse, and less likely to live in rural areas than Trump voters. But, at a border that is already hyper-politicized, hyper-policed and hyper-surveilled, the last two administrations have still largely relied on the enforcement-focused infrastructures and blueprints inherited from their predecessors. Even on the day that President Joe Biden delivered his most jarring warning yet that democracy is in severe danger, Donald Trump teased how he might use a new White House term to further erode . Adults younger than 50 made up 45% of all voters but 68% of nonvoters nearly identical to the pattern seen in 2016. However, since the Afghanistan withdrawal, Biden's dipped below his predecessor . Biden officials have also said they will be proposing a new rule to further limit asylum eligibility, a move that has incited anger among advocates who already fought similar bans under Trump. This was measured separately from topic since COVID is so intertwined with many of the other topic areas and captures whether COVID-19 was a major part of the story (meaning at least half the story addressed it), a minor part of the story (addressed in less than half the story), or not a part of the story at all. At the same time, Bidens advantage over Trump among Hispanic voters who did not have a college degree was far narrower (55% to 41%). The issue of Immigration in the United States has been at the top of Trump's priority during his stint in office. Recently, the Biden administration announced it would step up expedited removal, despite having previously rescinded Trumps own sweeping expansion of these fast-tracked deportations. (Americans who consume news from these outlets were also much more likely to report hearing a lot about immigration policy reform, according to the survey data.) The study also catalogued the presence in each story of 13 possible types of sources. See here to read more about the questions used for this reportand the reports methodology. Today's Action Market Data Stocks Quick Takes Personal Finance Your Money Newsletter . Pew Research Center conducted this study to understand how Americans voted in 2020 and how their turnout and vote choices differed from 2016 and 2018. Trump's indictment in Manhattan for paying hush money to a porn star yanked the spotlight off of DeSantis. Each news outlet in this study was placed in one of three groups based on the political profile of its audience (i.e., those respondents in the survey who reported getting political news from each outlet in the past week). Comparable levels of support for each candidate were seen among Democrats (95% for Biden) and Republicans (94% for Trump), not including leaners. Economy - "The economy has comeroaring back to life underPresident Trump. This aligns with the content analysis, which found that the economy and health care were the two leading topics for the period studied (see Chapter 1). There could be more than one source within any source category, such as quotes from two members of the administration. Voters think Biden may stabilize the country Among the 5% of Republicans who voted third-party in 2016 and voted in 2020, a majority (70%) supported Trump in 2020, but 18% backed Biden. Some 2,000 migrants stranded on the southern border of Mexico demanded freedom of transit during President Biden's visit to the country. One area where there is little difference across the three media groups is whether the journalist framed the story around Bidens leadership and character or his ideology and agenda. Let's look at the overall sentiment. Most Americans have been following news about the Biden administration closely, 5. This is important because The impeachment put a bad taste in the mouth of voters who now apply that to new conditions The Trump-Biden presidential contest. Overall, about one-in-five U.S. adults (22%) said that at the time of the survey they had been following news about Biden very closely, with another 44% following it fairly closely. Indeed, the virus outbreak was mentioned as a major or minor component in 72% of all stories about the Biden administration, including nearly every health care story and 96% of all economy stories, as well as other topic areas. Voters believe Trump opposes regulations that slow down our economy The report includes accurate analyses of PESTLE, SWOT, and other factors that affect the Bidens . After such public vitriol and humanitarian scandals, Joe Biden billed himself as the anti-Trump candidate who would restore honor and decency to the presidency, partly by building a fair and humane immigration system. Younger voters also made up an outsize share of these voters: Those under age 30 made up 38% of new or irregular 2020 voters, though they represented just 15% of all 2020 voters. We compare and contrast. While a traditional SWOT analysis follows the S-W-O-T pattern, I will start by building the case against him, then follow with the good news, so my analysis will actually follow a W-T-S-O pattern, which is less elegant as an acronym, but which I think presents the situation in a proper light. 2. A man protests family separation at the San Ysidro border crossing in Tijuana, Mexico. Finally, on the DOW Jones, Trump is at 33.85% compared to Biden at 8.78% a difference of 25.07%. Two of the questions were correctly answered by large majorities of Americans: a question about the proposed increased national minimum wage (81% correctly answered $15 an hour) and a question about the number of doses required for the COVID-19 vaccines approved in the U.S. (69% correctly answered that the number of doses required varies depending on the vaccine).4. Among the 5% of Republicans who voted third-party in 2016 and voted in 2020, a majority (70%) supported Trump in 2020, but 18% backed Biden. A Biden family member (not in the administration), Donald Trump, his family or former administration, A journalist (other than the reporter or anchor of the story) or news organization. Others die trying to circumvent closed-off points of entry. This study looks at coverage of the Biden administration in two different ways: 1) studying the content published by different news organizations, and 2) asking Americans about their opinions on coverage of the administration. A number of factors determined the composition of the 2020 electorate and explain how it delivered Biden a victory. Biden is the lesser of two evils This report includes two main elements: A content analysis of news coverage of the first 60 days of the Biden administration by 25 major news outlets, which can be compared with early coverage of the Trump administration and previous administrations dating back to 1993; and a survey of 12,045 U.S. adults conducted March 8-14, 2021, as part of . The Democratic electorate is more evenly divided when it comes to education. On balance, these shifts helped Biden a little more than Trump. Similarly, as Biden increased his level of support among White men in the 2020 election relative to Clintons in 2016, Trump gained among White women, which had the effect of further narrowing the gender gap among White voters. Trumps stronghold among White men without a four-year college degree loosened somewhat in 2020. Americans more familiar with Biden administrations proposed minimum wage increase than vaccination goals, Appendix A: Grouping outlets by audience ideology and grouping survey respondents by media diet, Appendix B: Detailed tables comparing news coverage of the first 100 days vs. 60 days of the Trump administration in 2017, Appendix C: Content analysis detailed tables, Use of anonymous sources uncommon in early Biden coverage, least likely in outlets with right-leaning audiences, Trump mentioned in about half of Biden stories during early weeks in office, but less so over time, Immigration was a top focus of early Biden coverage, especially among outlets with right-leaning audiences, Q&A: How Pew Research Center studied press coverage of the Biden administrations early days, In a Growing Share of U.S. Marriages, Husbands and Wives Earn About the Same, Gun deaths among U.S. children and teens rose 50% in two years, Key facts as India surpasses China as the worlds most populous country, Americans Are Critical of Chinas Global Role as Well as Its Relationship With Russia. Despite strong approval ratings for his first six months in office, since August 2021 President Biden's disapproval rating has been higher than his approval rating. Across the 25 news outlets studied, five broad topics accounted for two-thirds (67%) of all the coverage related to the Biden administration. Nonvoters are citizens who were not found to have a record of voting in any of the voter files or told us they did not vote. US turns back growing number of undocumented people after arduous sea journeys, Love across the border: a couples 13-year quest to be reunited in the US, Original reporting and incisive analysis, direct from the Guardian every morning. That puts Harris' rating under . Some of the largest differences between voters and nonvoters are seen on education and income. This . Bidens policy and agenda framed the majority of coverage overall (65%), including 68% of the stories from outlets with mixed audiences and 65% of stories from outlets with left-leaning audiences. The 2020 election brought a huge change in howAmericans cast their ballots. Transparency and disclosure will take a hit, with . This right-oriented group was also about twice as likely as the left-oriented group to have heard a lot about immigration reform efforts (45% vs. 21%). The community profiles of Trump and Biden voters are similar in some fundamental ways to the previous two elections but more voters who cast ballots for Biden in 2020 say they live in a suburban area compared with Clintons 2016 voters. Overall, urban voters continue to constitute a larger share of the Democratic coalition compared with the Republican coalition. Among the other most common types of sources were groups focused on policy issues (such as the ACLU and Susan B. Anthony List) and/or experts (such as academics), which were cited in 32% of stories, Democratic members of Congress (27%), Republican members (23%) and other journalists or media organizations (20%). As was the case in 2016, White voters without a four-year college degree made up a considerably larger share of GOP voters (58%) than Democratic voters (27%). All others are categorized as neither positive nor negative. Perhaps reflecting the enduring impact of this long-term age gap, voters ages 30 to 49 were also solidly in the Democratic candidates camp in 2020, favoring Biden by 12 points (55%-43%), similar to Clintons share among this age group. The Swing Voter Project contacts voters who voted in the 2012 and 2016 elections in key swing states. As a result, a record number of voters said they cast their ballots this way (46%). Under the practice, migrants can be swiftly repatriated without ever seeing a judge. In 2020, 31% of Trump voters had at least a four-year college degree similar to the share of Trump voters who had a college degree in 2016. Ideological divisions within the parties were also apparent in the vote, with both Trump and Biden doing better among the ideological core of their parties. On the other hand, former Vice President Joe Biden has a different opinion. When asked whether five key priorities of the new administration were getting too much attention, too little attention or the right amount of coverage, only one such topic the COVID-19 pandemic was identified by a majority of Americans (58%) as getting the right amount. Biden stopped applying the aggressive policy to unaccompanied kids but has continued to expel individuals and families. A majority of nonvoters in 2016 (55%) were Democrats or Democratic leaners, compared with about four-in-ten (41%) who were Republicans or leaned toward the Republican Party. The comments by the voters, however, are direct evidence of the qualities I want to examine in my SWOT analysis. In addition, our polling averages do not include head-to-head polls (e.g., between Trump and DeSantis). Donald Trump Victim Goes on MSNBC and CNN .. to Defend Trump! This analysis joins a growing body of research seeking to achieve a more accurate assessment of the 2020 election, each based on somewhat different sources of data.2 Different methods and data sources have unique strengths and weaknesses, meaning that specific estimates are likely to vary among the studies and no single resource can be considered definitive. Now I should mention another important point about my analysis. 2. Voters think Biden has the experience to do the job. Zero,". Urban and suburban voters were considerably more likely than rural voters to say they cast their ballot by mail (50% of urban and suburban vs. 35% of rural voters). Biden took 98% of the vote among liberal Democrats and leaners and 91% among those who are moderate or conservative. Voters dont like Biden blaming Trump for the coronavirus, seeing it as playing politics falsely He also resumed programs that allow some from the Caribbean and Central America to reunite with family members in the US, and a task force is still trying to reconnect families separated by the Trump administration. However, when comparing Clintons voters with Bidens, there are some significant shifts. While Bidens popular vote differential was an improvement over Hillary Clintons 2016 2-point advantage, it was not as resounding as congressional Democrats 9-point advantage over Republicans in votes cast in the 2018 elections for the U.S. House of Representatives. In March 2020, during a . Read more about the ATPs methodology. Voters do not like the violence and rioting occurring with the protests, especially since Democrats like Biden say nothing about it Another significant difference in their coverage is that while the negative Biden stories modestly outnumbered the positive ones, negative stories about Trump exceeded positive ones by four-to-one. These patterns also are apparent when the lens is shifted to birth cohorts, or generations groups of voters who share birth years and perhaps formative political experiences in common, such as the popularity of the president at the time they were first eligible to vote. For more details, see the methodology. Biden has soft advantages here, but these threats could keep Trump from winning critical independents and moderates in the election if he ignore them. So how is it, with these comments, that Biden is leading in the polls, and Trump seems almost desperate? Although the Biden administration eventually announced it was planning to end Title 42 restrictions last year, pending litigation has kept them in place for the foreseeable future. Initially, Biden delivered, with a flurry of executive actions and other first steps to undo Trumps crackdown. Biden responded by attacking Trump for not having a clear health-care plan, despite promising that he would unveil it. Source types: The study also measured 13 different types of sources that might be cited in a story: This measure identifies the presence of atypeof source in any given article, not the total number of individual sources. The gender gap in the 2020 election was narrower than it had been in 2016 as Democrats made gains among men and Republicans made gains among women. The current study is comprised of two components, an analysis of media content and a survey analysis. Overall, 65% of the stories were framed around the new presidents policy agenda and ideology, compared with 35% around character and leadership. In 2020, the age profiles of Democratic and Republican voters looked largely similar to 2016. The 19% of 2020 voters who did not vote in 2016 or 2018 split roughly evenly between the two candidates (49% Biden vs. 47% Trump). If you continue to use this site we will assume that you consent to this usage. White non-evangelical Protestants voted for Trump over Biden by a 14-point margin (57%-43%), while Black Protestants were an overwhelmingly Democratic group (91% voted for Biden). Unaccompanied children are exempt from Title 42, so some parents make the difficult choice to send their kids across the border alone, even when that means indefinite time apart. Meanwhile, even as officials publicly argue against reliance on the policy, they have expanded its use multiple times, abruptly, to target Venezuelans and now also Nicaraguans, Haitians and Cubans. "How does this offering support the company's mission and objectives?" Ask how the product or service will directly support and enhance the company's mission and strategic objectives. The surveys were supplemented with measures taken from annual recruitment and profile surveys conducted in 2018 and 2020. All rights reserved. In 2016, Trump won White men by 30 points (62% to 32%). Other Democrats are younger and nimbler, but Biden has been a better president than many expected - and he could be Donald Trump's nemesis again Fri 14 Apr 2023 07.00 EDT Last modified on Fri . Researchers coded stories from the 25 news outlets with content pulled from more than 45 specific programs or websites for a number of measures: Topic:News stories were first coded as being about one of 47 specific topicsor storylines (the most prominent topic within each story was coded as the storys overall topic). Voters as a group were considerably older than nonvoters. In 2020, Trump won 65% of White non-college voters nearly identical to his 2016 share even as Biden outperformed Clinton among this group (33% of White non-college voters backed Biden, up from the 28% of this group Clinton won in 2016). "There's no way he can protect preexisting conditions. President Trump repeated his claim that Joe Biden wants to ban fracking - the controversial process of drilling below ground and using high-pressure water to force out gas. It also provides a comparison with findings from our previous studies of the 2016 and 2018 electorates. Joe Biden has a sizable lead over Donald Trump in national . The areas of coverage people say they are getting most of from their main sources broadly align with the share of coverage devoted to each in Part 1. One difference to note in the Trump-Biden comparison is that the 2017 study covered the first 100 days of the administration, while this years study covers only the first 60 days. To work them into my analysis of Trumps situation, Bidens strengths and opportunities fall into Trumps threats, while Bidens weaknesses and threats fall into Trumps opportunities. See Methodology for details. Voters would much rather Trump let his work speak for him But there's more to be worried about: The . 62 % to 32 % ) he can protect preexisting conditions at the San Ysidro crossing! And leaners and 91 % among those who are moderate or conservative unaccompanied kids but has continued to expel and... 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